All numbers are home-team lines: negative means the home team is favored. Model and lines are on the same scale. Disagreement is model margin minus the latest line (close, else Friday, else Tuesday), in points; positive means the model likes the home team more than the market does. Result is the final home margin. The home-field lever rescales the model's fitted home edge for non-neutral games.
Driscoll CFB Model
Opponent-adjusted efficiency margins for every FBS game, logged against the market.